TRENDS & INSIGHTS
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Spotlight on… the rising power of subscriptions
The subscription economy has exploded in the last decade – and subscriptions for physical goods are set to account for 45% of the total market in 2022. We take a look at the opportunity for small businesses.
Executive summary
The global subscription economy is booming, and subscriptions for physical products are set to generate the highest revenue share of the market in 2022.
China, North America and Western Europe are key markets.
Popular categories for product subscriptions include beauty, food and drink, and wellness products.
Subscriptions offer several advantages for businesses.
They bring reliable revenue and a chance to build better relationships with customers.
Customers who cancel are hard to tempt back.
Offering multiple options and the flexibility to change their subscription can help to keep them.
31%
of Europeans now have more subscriptions than they did at the start of the pandemic
Subscription businesses, which sell products or services on an on-going basis to customers who make payments at regular intervals, have boomed in the last decade. Since 2012 they have grown more than four times faster than the S&P500 index.1 Research by ING in 2018 found that European consumers spent around 5% of their total spending on subscriptions2 – and the pandemic has only fuelled the appetite for this business model. One survey found that 31% of Europeans now have more subscriptions than they did at the start of the pandemic, with almost a quarter (24%) currently having more than four.3
The huge success of this business model in the last decade has been driven by content and media subscriptions – such as Netflix and Spotify – and business software services.1 But subscriptions for physical consumer products have thrived as well – particularly since March 2020. What’s more, physical goods are set to account for the largest revenue share of the subscription market in 2022.4
The growth is already being felt. Subscription e-commerce businesses saw an average 31% increase in their subscriber numbers in 2021. There was also significant growth in average order value – up by as much as 19% in some product categories.5
Building a subscriptions business
The possibilities for product subscriptions – and businesses that want to build business models on them – are broad. Consumers can now sign up to subscriptions across a wide range of categories including beauty and personal care, meal kits, drinks selections, and even essential goods such as washing powder.
There are also different types of product subscriptions. Replenish subscriptions offer consumers the convenience of automating orders for essential items. Curated subscriptions are those that send a mixture of products – usually in categories such as fashion and beauty – which have been selected according to the customer’s tastes. And access subscriptions offer consumers a premium service or discounts on products.6
For businesses, subscriptions have the advantage of securing recurring revenue and fostering stronger relationships with customers.7 But it is a challenging proposition to get right. According to McKinsey, consumers want an outstanding experience in exchange for their commitment to a subscription.6
As more businesses enter the market, the competition for a share of the customer spend gets stronger. Price is one of the biggest incentives for subscribers, especially for replenishment subscriptions, so getting the right balance between the margin being made and the price point being offered is an important consideration.6
Subscription businesses: at a glance
$263bn
Projected size of the physical goods subscription market by 20258
2
The projected average number of physical goods subscriptions per subscriber globally by 20258
Where is the opportunity?9
The three largest markets for subscriptions of physical goods are:
What do customers subscribe to, globally?5
Beauty and personal care
27.6%
Food and Beverage
26.7%
Health and Wellness
16.3%
Home goods
11.6%
Fashion and apparel
7.9%
Pets
5.6%
Other
4.2%
Three advantages for businesses7
Reliable revenue
75%
of retailers say subscriptions are a more reliable source of income compared to individual sales.
Staying competitive
87%
say that offering subscription services allows them to keep up with competitors.
Better customer relationships
82%
believe the increased customer contact of subscriptions allows them to build stronger relationships.
Three more things to consider
Subscriptions should offer value, variety and quality
The strongest motivator for consumers signing up to subscriptions is good value for the price point. Almost two thirds (62%) of consumers who buy subscriptions said this was their motivation, in a survey by McKinsey. This was followed by a high-quality product or service (motivation for 45% of respondents) and a good variety (41%).10
Commit to subscriptions
Experimenting with a subscription service could feel like a safe way to dip a toe into the market. However, a half-hearted approach risks decreasing the perceived value of your products or damaging your reputation. Making a real commitment to the model could stand you in a better stead for winning and retaining subscribers.10
Offer options to avoid cancellations
Once customers cancel a subscription, there’s just an 11% chance they will return. Offering customers a variety of subscription options with tiered pricing, plus the flexibility to change their subscription, is one way to discourage cancellations.10
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page does not constitute legal, tax, finance, accounting, or trade advice, but is designed to provide general information relating to business and commerce. The FedEx Small Business Hub content, information, and services are not a substitute for obtaining the advice of a competent professional, for example a licensed attorney, law firm, accountant, or financial adviser.
Sources
1. The Subscription Economy Index | Zuora , Feb 2022
2. Europeans spend 5% of their spending on subscriptions | Ecommerce News EU, 2018
3. A life on demand: the request for subscription services is growing in Italy and Europe | N26, May 2021
4. Subscription economy market value to reach $275 billion globally in 2022 | Juniper Research, Jan 2022
5. State of subscription commerce 2022 | Recharge Payments, Feb 2022
6. Thinking inside the subscription box: New research on e-commerce consumers | McKinsey, 2018
7. Lockdown fuels ‘Subscription Society’ as Brits spend £552 a year on sign-up services | Barclaycard, 2020
8. Subscriptions for physical goods to hit $263bn by 2025, overtaking digital subscriptions | Internet Retailing, Oct 2020
9. What will the subscription economy deliver next (Whitepaper) | Juniper Research, Jan 2022
10. Sign up now: Creating consumer—and business—value with subscriptions | McKinsey, May 2021
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