
TRENDS & INSIGHTS / MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Executive summary
Generative AI is making rapid advances in China’s e-commerce sector, lowering costs, supercharging efficiency and enhancing the consumer experience.
Cross-border e-commerce is surging, with exports supported by government policies, logistics and payments tech while imports are fuelled by consumer demand.
Community group buying continues to evolve in China, offering the potential to sell in higher volumes and capitalise on marketing and cost efficiencies.
China’s e-commerce sector is the largest in the world, with forecast revenue of $1.5 trillion in 2024.1 It’s also been fertile ground for the development of many trends in the sector, from livestreaming to social commerce.
But what are the current trends in the market? How they could impact the way you target the Chinese market and, potentially, how might they influence what’s coming next to other markets around the world?
To find out, we’ve looked at three of the biggest recent Chinese e-commerce trends that have made – or are making – a big impact.
Chinese e-commerce trends: at a glance
$1.8 trillion
Estimated size of virtual human market size in 2033, up from $43.3 billion in 2023.2
$500 billion
Predicted size of Chinese cross-border e-commerce market in 2025.3
CNY322.8 billion
Size of the Chinese community group buying market in 2023, equivalent to $44.3 billion and up from CNY8.5 billion ($1.2 billion) in 2018.4
1. Generative AI
Chinese e-commerce businesses have been adopting generative AI at a rapid pace, using its power to both lower costs and enhance the customer experience.
For merchants, AI is helping to drive enormous increases in efficiency. Major selling platforms such as Alibaba and JD.com, among others, are providing AI-backed tools that dramatically reduce workload, time and investment requirements.
JD.com, for example, has launched an AI-generated content platform that helps create product images, marketing text and short videos, resulting in an efficiency improvement of over 90%.5 And Alibaba’s AI business assistant, which automatically generates product information and images, cuts the time it takes for sellers to publish goods from an hour to a minute. It is now used by over 30,000 businesses.6
Another area where generative AI is really making an impact is in livestreaming. This is hugely popular in China, and AI-based virtual influencers have already seen huge success in the country. But new developments are democratising the technology, allowing retailers to more easily launch their own virtual livestreamers that can operate 24/7. Chinese tech giant Baidu has a platform that can create a virtual human in under half an hour7, while JD.com’s Yanxi has completed over 400,000 hours of livestreaming for over 5,000 brands.8
AI is also being used to enhance online content for customers, analysing data to drive personalised experiences. As well as product predictions based on prior purchasing behaviours and preferences, it’s powering everything from personalised skincare routines to virtual try-ons and personalised shopping advice.9
What it could mean for your business:
Generative AI is making waves all over the world, and the huge strides it’s making in Chinese e-commerce show a possible direction of travel for other markets too.
If you’re planning to adopt it, the data from China is encouraging. A Bain & Company survey shows that half of merchants on the largest e-commerce platforms have used at least one generative AI tool, one in three merchants have used it to create content, and most early adopters say that AI has had moderately to highly positive impacts in areas including sales, costs and workforce productivity.10
2. Cross-border e-commerce
Cross-border commerce is another key trend in China, in both directions. Chinese businesses themselves are increasingly looking for markets overseas, supported by the government which has established 165 comprehensive pilot zones for cross-border e-commerce.11
Advances in logistics and digital payments are convincing more businesses to target overseas buyers, and while B2B transactions have historically accounted for a significant proportion of sales, B2C transactions have seen their share increase.12 The gross market value of cross-border B2C e-commerce shipments is expected to reach CNY6.05 trillion (€797 billion) in 2027, up from CNY3.23 trillion in 2022.13
Cross-border imports into China have also been surging, fuelled in part by consumer demand for better quality products and better access to major brands. There were almost 190 million cross-border consumers in China in 2023, up from 167 million the previous year, buying imports worth CNY3.61 trillion.14
What it could mean for your business:
The drive for Chinese e-commerce players to expand into foreign markets is a development worth keeping an eye on. Depending on your business, it could mean greater competition, so it’s important not to be caught off-guard. Equally, from a B2B perspective it could also mean easier and potentially cheaper access to products your business needs.
And the growing cross-border import market in China could offer significant opportunities too. A white paper released by JD Worldwide and Nielsen IQ describe the industry as being in an ‘advanced phase of upgrade and growth’, driven by factors including favourable government policies, improved infrastructure and a diverse supply of available products, and with a huge 80% of consumers interested in purchasing overseas products.15
If you want to target them, the report says they are looking for authenticity, quality and efficient logistics, but that key to success is product differentiation and understanding their needs.
3. Community group buying
Community group buying has been one of the standout trends in China in recent years. It combines social commerce with a physical community experience, as groups of people combine together to buy in bulk and benefit from steep discounts.
The process is led by community group leaders, who act as intermediaries between the seller and the buying group. The group leaders place the order, and the sellers ship it to a designated collection point. The leaders then contact the group members to tell them their individual goods are ready to collect.
The model has proven particularly popular in lower tier cities, where consumers tend to be more price-sensitive, and growth escalated rapidly in recent years. However, the pace has slowed more recently and there has been consolidation in the market, with fewer players now concentrating more on profitable growth rather than racing for market share.16
What it could mean for your business:
The model offers retailers a way to potentially sell more stock, grow their marketing reach and brand loyalty, and lower their costs.17 If you’re hoping to tap into the trend in China then it’s worth remembering some key points.
These include researching the most appropriate platforms for your products – Meituan Select and DuoDuo Grocery are the two largest in China but for European businesses it may be worth looking more closely at established cross-border e-commerce platforms (such as Pinduoduo and WeChat) to see whether you can benefit from group buying capabilities there.
Remember the high value that Chinese consumers place on social proof and reviews. Community group buying thrives on people enjoying a place within a social group that provides reviews and recommendations they can trust, so find ways to harness this for your own sales. And of course, it’s essential to manage your inventory and logistics effectively.18
Whether the model transfers to other markets around the world to the same extent remains to be seen, however it has achieved some overseas success – for example in Australia, where it’s proving very popular in Chinese communities in Australia.19
Three more things to consider
1. The importance of m-commerce
Mobile commerce is enormous in China, and understanding how to cater to it effectively is key to overall e-commerce success. The figures make it clear – there are 1.4 billion smartphone users in China, 96% of internet users access content via mobile devices, and 75% of online sales are made on mobile devices.20 Combine that with the popularity of short video platforms and social commerce, and it’s obvious that – from ad campaigns and social media presence to effective integration with popular sales platforms – mobile should be at the heart of any market expansion strategy. If you want to know more, don’t miss our article on social selling in China.
2. The growth of the middle class
It’s well-documented that growth in China’s economy, which has seen unprecedented expansion over the past three decades, is slowing down. Yet it is still growing, as is the country’s middle class. There are expected to be 80 million more members by 203021 and – as middle-class consumers are one of the major drivers of cross-border e-commerce – that equates to a lot more potential customers for foreign businesses.
3. Increasing environmental concerns
Sustainability is increasingly relevant in Chinese e-commerce. Recently introduced government regulations are encouraging eco-friendly packaging in the parcel delivery sector22, while consumers are also making their voices heard. Just over 40% say they prefer shopping at online stores that offer sustainable delivery, compared to 28% in the US.23 E-commerce businesses are following suit too, adopting more sustainable practices to address concerns and meet the demands of customers.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page does not constitute legal, tax, finance, accounting, or trade advice, but is designed to provide general information relating to business and commerce. The FedEx Small Business Hub content, information, and services are not a substitute for obtaining the advice of a competent professional, for example (but not limited to) a licensed attorney, law firm, accountant, or financial adviser.
1 Revenue of e-commerce worldwide in 2024, by country | Statista, 2024
2 Virtual Humans Market Expected to Reach $1827.7 Billion by 2033 | Allied Market Research, 2025
3 China e-Commerce | HSBC, 2024
4 Scale of the community group buying market in China from 2018 to 2023 | Statista, 2024
5 Artificial intelligence makes e-commerce even more efficient | China Daily, 2024
6 Artificial intelligence makes e-commerce even more efficient | China Daily, 2024
7 https://jingdaily.com/posts/e-commerce-in-china-2023-s-biggest-moves
8 Artificial intelligence makes e-commerce even more efficient | China Daily, 2024
9 Top E-commerce Trends in China for 2024 | eTOC, 2024
10 Gen AI Can Help Retailers Defy China’s Economic Slowdown | Bain & Company, 2024
11 China to boost cross-border e-commerce to fuel industrial chains: MOFCOM | Global Times, 2024
12 Cross-border e-commerce in China - statistics & facts | Statista, 2024
13 Gross merchandise value (GMV) of the B2C export e-commerce market in China | Statista, 2024
14 Market size of China's import cross-border e-commerce from 2013 to 2023 | Statista, 2024
15 NielsenIQ and JD Worldwide Jointly Release the 2024 White Paper on China Cross-Border Import Consumption Trends | BusinessWire, 2024
16 Community Group Buying in China: A Social Commerce Phenomenon | ECDB, 2024
17 Community Group Buying in China: A Social Commerce Phenomenon | ECDB, 2024
18 How to Leverage China’s Group Buying Platforms for Brand Growth | GMA, 2023
19 Chinese-Australian families using 'community group buying' to get better prices on their groceries | ABC News, 2024
20 Mobile Marketing in China | eTOC, 2024
21 The Evolving Growth Story of China's Economy: The S&P China Consumption Index | S&P Global, 2024
22 China introduces stringent regulations for parcel delivery sector as e-commerce booms | Packaging Insights, 2024
23 Sustainable Delivery: Online Consumer Behavior in China and the United States | ECDB, 2024